🇦🇷 A celebration with footnotes.
La Alegría
A joyful, honest look at Argentina's 2026 World Cup run. I'm a fan, I think Messi is the GOAT, and I'm loving every minute. People kept bringing up the gossip — favoritism, an FBI probe, corruption whispers — so instead of shrugging, I did the homework.
By Emmanuel Oga
Snapshot as of July 12, 2026
Explore the analysis
The StoryWhat actually happened, as a timeline.Could It Be Done?Could a fix even be pulled off? A simulator.The ProbabilitiesFour hypotheses, and a Bayesian playground.Who Wins?The models, the market, and a Monte Carlo.Ask the ResearchChat with the compiled research.SourcesEverything, traced to a source.The LogA living changelog of re-runs.